WSH vs BUF - 2025-03-30
2025-03-30 • Capital One Arena
WSH 5 - 8 BUF
🚨 Upset Loss (87% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 86.7%
BUF: 13.3%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.49
BUF: 3.28
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 16-12-4 | 0.916 SV% | 2.35 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:06 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 12:49 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 02:14 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 02:46 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 05:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:52 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 00:37 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 01:28 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 05:52 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 09:11 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 14:03 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 15:34 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:36 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 86.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 13.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
WSH 5 - 8 BUF
Expected: 3.5 - 3.3