Buffalo Sabres at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-03-30 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 5 - 8 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 70.6%

BUF: 29.4%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.57

BUF: 3.81

Total Goals

Median: 9.0

Over 5.5: 88%

Over 6.5: 78%

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WSH at home vs BUF: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	WSH 6 - 2 BUF	WSH	WSH
2026-03-12	BUF 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	BUF
2025-11-01	BUF 4 - 3 WSH	BUF	WSH
2025-03-30	WSH 5 - 8 BUF	BUF	WSH
2025-01-06	BUF 4 - 3 WSH	BUF	WSH

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	10:06	WSH	Goal
1	12:49	WSH	Goal
2	02:14	BUF	Goal
2	02:46	WSH	Goal
2	05:17	BUF	Goal
2	11:52	BUF	Goal
3	00:37	BUF	Goal
3	01:28	BUF	Goal
3	05:52	BUF	Goal
3	09:11	BUF	Goal
3	14:03	BUF	Goal
3	15:34	BUF	Goal
3	19:36	BUF	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 70.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 7.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 5 - 8 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.6 - 3.8