Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-03-30 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

WPG: 64.4%

VAN: 35.6%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.63

VAN: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs VAN: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	19	1	1.29
1	VAN	10	0	0.53
2	WPG	10	1	0.39
2	VAN	16	0	0.62
3	WPG	15	2	1.83
3	VAN	14	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7