Utah Hockey Club at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-03-30 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

CHI: 41.0%

UTA: 59.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.89

UTA: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	31	26	5	83.9%	3.63	1	-1.37
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	29	27	2	93.1%	2.70	2	0.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs UTA: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	UTA 2 - 3 CHI	CHI	UTA
2026-03-09	CHI 3 - 2 UTA	CHI	UTA
2026-03-01	UTA 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	UTA
2025-10-13	CHI 3 - 1 UTA	CHI	CHI
2025-03-30	CHI 2 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	11	0	0.56
1	UTA	16	0	1.20
2	CHI	17	2	1.38
2	UTA	24	1	1.61
3	CHI	11	0	0.75
3	UTA	14	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.9 - 2.7