Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2025-03-30 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 0 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 60.8%
OTT: 39.2%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.13
OTT: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | PIT | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.951 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • PIT at home vs OTT: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | PIT 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | PIT |
| 2025-12-18 | OTT 4 - 0 PIT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-03-30 | PIT 1 - 0 OTT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-01-11 | PIT 0 - 5 OTT | OTT | PIT |
| 2024-12-14 | OTT 3 - 2 PIT | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 01:16 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 0 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7