New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-03-30 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 4 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 64.1%
NYI: 35.9%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.36
NYI: 2.54
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 47%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | CAR | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CAR at home vs NYI: 6-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | CAR 6 - 2 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-30 | CAR 6 - 4 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-25 | NYI 3 - 2 CAR | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-12-17 | CAR 4 - 0 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-12-07 | NYI 4 - 3 CAR | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:41 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 04:54 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 06:10 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 11:27 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:37 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 08:35 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 17:29 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:05 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 09:19 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:14 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 4 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.4 - 2.5