New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-03-30 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 4 New York Islanders

Win Probability

CAR: 77.3%

NYI: 22.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.98

NYI: 2.43

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

NYI

Marcus Hogberg - 0-0-0 | 0.714 SV% | 8.90 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	31	27	4	87.1%	2.75	2	-1.25
NYI	Marcus Hogberg	30	24	6	80.0%	3.53	2	-2.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • CAR at home vs NYI: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	0	0.95
1	NYI	14	1	0.98
2	CAR	14	0	1.21
2	NYI	13	1	1.04
3	CAR	16	2	1.38
3	NYI	16	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 4.0 - 2.4