New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-03-30 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 4 New York Islanders

Win Probability

CAR: 80.6%

NYI: 19.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 5.12

NYI: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • CAR at home vs NYI: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	0	0.95
1	NYI	14	1	0.98
2	CAR	14	0	1.21
2	NYI	13	1	1.04
3	CAR	16	2	1.38
3	NYI	16	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 7.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 5.1 - 2.7