Toronto Maple Leafs at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-03-30 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 63.1%

TOR: 36.9%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.16

TOR: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ANA at home vs TOR: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	ANA 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	ANA
2026-03-12	TOR 6 - 4 ANA	TOR	ANA
2025-03-30	ANA 2 - 3 TOR	TOR	ANA
2024-12-12	TOR 3 - 2 ANA	TOR	TOR
2024-02-17	TOR 9 - 2 ANA	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	ANA	17	0.94
1	TOR	8	0.48
2	ANA	13	0.70
2	TOR	24	1.44
3	ANA	22	1.26
3	TOR	13	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3