Minnesota Wild at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-03-31 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

NJD: 57.0%

MIN: 43.0%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.30

MIN: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	31	29	2	93.5%	2.67	0	0.67
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	30	26	4	86.7%	3.40	2	-0.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs MIN: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN
2025-10-22	NJD 4 - 1 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-31	NJD 3 - 2 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-29	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2023-11-02	MIN 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	0	0.28
1	MIN	14	0	0.66
2	NJD	18	0	0.97
2	MIN	18	0	0.85
3	NJD	10	0	0.54
3	MIN	17	0	0.67
4	NJD	1	0	0.02
4	MIN	3	0	0.34
5	NJD	2	2	1.60
5	MIN	2	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9