Nashville Predators at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-03-31 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

PHI: 56.9%

NSH: 43.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.83

NSH: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

PHI

Ivan Fedotov - 6-13-4 | 0.880 SV% | 3.15 GAA

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	Ivan Fedotov	29	28	1	96.6%	2.35	0	1.35
NSH	Justus Annunen	18	16	2	88.9%	3.70	6	1.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs NSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-06	NSH 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-10-30	PHI 4 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2025-03-31	PHI 2 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2024-11-27	NSH 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-21	PHI 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	14	3	1.61
1	NSH	13	0	0.59
2	PHI	10	1	0.89
2	NSH	17	0	1.08
3	PHI	10	2	1.20
3	NSH	10	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.8 - 2.9