Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-03-31 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 52.2%

DAL: 47.8%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.92

DAL: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SEA at home vs DAL: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	DAL 4 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-11-26	SEA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-11-09	DAL 2 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-03-31	SEA 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-03-29	SEA 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	11	0	0.74
1	DAL	20	1	1.55
2	SEA	24	0	1.31
2	DAL	14	0	1.01
3	SEA	19	0	0.77
3	DAL	13	2	1.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9