Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2025-04-01 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 - 4 Nashville Predators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 61.9%
NSH: 38.1%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.43
NSH: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.877 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 4.04 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | Elvis Merzlikins | 28 | 24 | 4 | 85.7% | 2.63 | 2 | -1.37 |
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 37 | 29 | 8 | 78.4% | 4.01 | 5 | -3.99 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs NSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | CBJ 3 - 2 NSH | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-10-09 | NSH 2 - 1 CBJ | NSH | CBJ |
| 2025-04-01 | CBJ 8 - 4 NSH | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-10-26 | NSH 4 - 3 CBJ | NSH | CBJ |
| 2024-04-13 | NSH 6 - 4 CBJ | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 15 | 1 | 1.21 |
| 1 | NSH | 17 | 1 | 0.86 |
| 2 | CBJ | 19 | 3 | 1.77 |
| 2 | NSH | 15 | 0 | 0.82 |
| 3 | CBJ | 14 | 1 | 1.03 |
| 3 | NSH | 13 | 1 | 0.95 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 - 4 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9
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