Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-04-01 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 55.4%
DET: 44.6%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.83
DET: 2.65
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 48%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • STL at home vs DET: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | STL 2 - 5 DET | DET | STL |
| 2025-10-25 | DET 6 - 4 STL | DET | STL |
| 2025-04-01 | STL 2 - 1 DET | STL | STL |
| 2024-12-23 | DET 0 - 4 STL | STL | DET |
| 2024-02-24 | DET 6 - 1 STL | DET | STL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 16 | 0 | 1.01 |
| 1 | DET | 9 | 0 | 0.67 |
| 2 | STL | 15 | 1 | 1.37 |
| 2 | DET | 12 | 0 | 0.93 |
| 3 | STL | 17 | 0 | 1.00 |
| 3 | DET | 10 | 1 | 1.08 |
| 4 | STL | 2 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 4 | DET | 3 | 0 | 0.13 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 2.8 - 2.7
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