Calgary Flames at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-04-01 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

UTA: 73.7%

CGY: 26.3%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.42

CGY: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • UTA at home vs CGY: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CGY 4 - 1 UTA	CGY	UTA
2025-12-06	CGY 2 - 0 UTA	CGY	CGY
2025-10-15	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-04-01	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-01-02	CGY 3 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	17	2	1.55
1	CGY	14	1	0.47
2	UTA	17	2	1.67
2	CGY	12	0	0.54
3	UTA	9	3	1.63
3	CGY	16	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6