Winnipeg Jets at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-04-01 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

LAK: 55.4%

WPG: 44.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.64

WPG: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	20	19	1	95.0%	1.39	1	0.39
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	20	16	4	80.0%	1.80	1	-2.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs WPG: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-09	WPG 5 - 1 LAK	WPG	LAK
2025-11-04	LAK 3 - 0 WPG	LAK	LAK
2025-10-11	WPG 3 - 2 LAK	WPG	WPG
2025-04-01	LAK 4 - 1 WPG	LAK	LAK
2025-01-10	WPG 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	13	0	0.39
1	WPG	10	0	0.30
2	LAK	14	0	0.64
2	WPG	15	1	0.70
3	LAK	5	1	0.78
3	WPG	9	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9