Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-04-02 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 63.0%
MIN: 37.0%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.55
MIN: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 75%
Over 6.5: 63%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | NYR | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.949 | 0.881 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs MIN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | MIN 2 - 4 NYR | NYR | MIN |
| 2025-10-20 | NYR 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | NYR |
| 2025-04-02 | NYR 5 - 4 MIN | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-03-13 | MIN 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2023-11-09 | NYR 4 - 1 MIN | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:00 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 12:45 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 15:00 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 02:51 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 07:21 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:50 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 18:56 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 00:22 | NYR | Goal |
| 4 | 00:24 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.6 - 2.9
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