Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-04-02 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

NYR: 60.9%

MIN: 39.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.53

MIN: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	24	20	4	83.3%	2.19	1	-1.81
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	39	34	5	87.2%	3.78	1	-1.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs MIN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	MIN 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	MIN
2025-10-20	NYR 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	NYR
2025-04-02	NYR 5 - 4 MIN	NYR	NYR
2025-03-13	MIN 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	NYR
2023-11-09	NYR 4 - 1 MIN	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	25	1	1.01
1	MIN	12	0	0.40
2	NYR	26	0	1.89
2	MIN	15	0	0.70
3	NYR	13	0	0.76
3	MIN	8	1	1.09
4	NYR	1	0	0.11
4	MIN	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0