Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-04-02 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

CAR: 81.9%

WSH: 18.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.36

WSH: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • CAR at home vs WSH: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	0	1.12
1	WSH	8	1	0.95
2	CAR	14	0	0.94
2	WSH	18	1	1.43
3	CAR	20	0	1.27
3	WSH	7	1	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 81.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 4.4 - 3.2