Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-04-02 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 54.6%
COL: 45.4%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.55
COL: 3.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | CHI | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.962 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs COL: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | CHI 0 - 1 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-02 | CHI 2 - 3 COL | COL | CHI |
| 2025-03-10 | COL 3 - 0 CHI | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-08 | CHI 3 - 1 COL | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-10-28 | COL 2 - 5 CHI | CHI | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:39 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 08:17 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 09:17 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:49 | CHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.6 - 3.9