Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-04-02 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

CHI: 24.2%

COL: 75.8%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.39

COL: 3.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	34	30	4	88.2%	6.70	3	2.70
COL	Scott Wedgewood	24	21	3	87.5%	3.13	3	0.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CHI at home vs COL: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CHI 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-02-28	COL 3 - 1 CHI	COL	COL
2025-11-23	CHI 0 - 1 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-02	CHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-10	COL 3 - 0 CHI	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	0	0.39
1	COL	17	0	1.38
2	CHI	12	1	0.86
2	COL	19	0	1.58
3	CHI	9	1	0.71
3	COL	19	1	1.51
4	CHI	3	0	0.13
4	COL	3	0	0.31
5	CHI	3	1	1.04
5	COL	3	2	1.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.4 - 3.8