Pittsburgh Penguins at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-04-03 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 46.9%

PIT: 53.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.24

PIT: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 7.3

Over 5.5: 76%

Over 6.5: 62%

STL

Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs PIT: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	STL 7 - 5 PIT	STL	PIT
2025-10-27	PIT 6 - 3 STL	PIT	PIT
2025-04-03	STL 5 - 4 PIT	STL	PIT
2025-03-13	PIT 5 - 3 STL	PIT	STL
2023-12-30	PIT 4 - 2 STL	PIT	PIT

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	03:32	PIT	Goal
2	00:39	STL	Goal
2	04:22	PIT	Goal
2	06:48	STL	Goal
2	08:05	STL	Goal
3	05:56	STL	Goal
3	11:15	STL	Goal
3	19:35	STL	Goal
4	02:12	STL	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3