Pittsburgh Penguins at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-04-03 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 59.9%
PIT: 40.1%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.07
PIT: 3.44
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | STL | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • STL at home vs PIT: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | PIT 6 - 3 STL | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-04-03 | STL 5 - 4 PIT | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-13 | PIT 5 - 3 STL | PIT | PIT |
| 2023-12-30 | PIT 4 - 2 STL | PIT | PIT |
| 2023-10-21 | STL 4 - 2 PIT | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:32 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 08:05 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:48 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:22 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 00:39 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:35 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:15 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 05:56 | STL | Goal |
| 4 | 02:12 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.1 - 3.4