Los Angeles Kings at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-04-03 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 50.8%

LAK: 49.2%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.09

LAK: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	20	16	4	80.0%	2.77	3	-1.23
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	30	28	2	93.3%	2.91	1	0.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	LAK 2 - 6 UTA	UTA	LAK
2026-03-22	UTA 4 - 3 LAK	UTA	UTA
2025-12-08	UTA 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	UTA
2025-04-03	UTA 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	UTA
2025-02-22	LAK 5 - 3 UTA	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	20	0	0.99
1	LAK	8	0	0.30
2	UTA	18	1	1.49
2	LAK	11	1	0.95
3	UTA	7	0	0.43
3	LAK	14	2	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0