Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-04-03 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

CGY: 55.3%

ANA: 44.7%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.37

ANA: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CGY at home vs ANA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	ANA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2026-03-26	CGY 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-03-01	ANA 3 - 2 CGY	ANA	ANA
2026-01-25	CGY 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-09	ANA 4 - 3 CGY	ANA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	26	0	1.55
1	ANA	16	0	0.72
2	CGY	17	0	1.08
2	ANA	13	1	0.72
3	CGY	16	1	0.81
3	ANA	9	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 4 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1