Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-04-04 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 5 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 57.5%
CAR: 42.5%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.29
CAR: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | DET | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.901 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • DET at home vs CAR: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | DET 4 - 3 CAR | DET | DET |
| 2025-12-27 | CAR 5 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-04 | DET 5 - 3 CAR | DET | DET |
| 2025-03-14 | CAR 4 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-04 | DET 1 - 2 CAR | CAR | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:03 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 09:29 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 01:57 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 09:05 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 09:26 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 12:36 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 12:44 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:59 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 5 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9