Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-04-04 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

NYI: 58.2%

MIN: 41.8%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.51

MIN: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs MIN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	MIN 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	MIN
2025-11-07	NYI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	NYI
2025-04-04	NYI 3 - 1 MIN	NYI	NYI
2025-02-08	MIN 6 - 3 NYI	MIN	MIN
2024-01-15	MIN 5 - 0 NYI	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	9	0	0.40
1	MIN	14	0	0.72
2	NYI	21	1	1.34
2	MIN	18	0	0.71
3	NYI	12	0	0.67
3	MIN	13	0	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2