Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-04-05 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 0 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

OTT: 57.3%

FLA: 42.7%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.16

FLA: 3.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • OTT at home vs FLA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	OTT
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	12	1	1.17
1	FLA	17	0	0.88
2	OTT	7	0	0.36
2	FLA	18	0	1.31
3	OTT	12	1	1.63
3	FLA	25	0	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 0 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.9