Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-04-05 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 5 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

BOS: 58.5%

CAR: 41.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.57

CAR: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • BOS at home vs CAR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	BOS
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	14	0	0.90
1	CAR	17	0	0.62
2	BOS	11	0	0.88
2	CAR	19	1	1.33
3	BOS	12	1	1.27
3	CAR	18	2	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 5 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.6 - 2.9