Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-04-05 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 5 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 54.5%
COL: 45.5%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.18
COL: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | STL | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.860 | — |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs COL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | COL 6 - 1 STL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-05 | STL 5 - 4 COL | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-29 | COL 1 - 2 STL | STL | COL |
| 2025-02-23 | STL 3 - 1 COL | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-31 | COL 5 - 0 STL | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:49 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 07:41 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:01 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:53 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:32 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:45 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:42 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:29 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:51 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 5 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9