Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-04-05 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

SJS: 46.1%

SEA: 53.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.83

SEA: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

SJS

Alexandar Georgiev - 15-26-4 | 0.875 SV% | 3.71 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Alexandar Georgiev	22	17	5	77.3%	3.74	3	-1.26
SEA	Joey Daccord	24	23	1	95.8%	1.91	1	0.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs SEA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	SJS 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-15	SEA 4 - 1 SJS	SEA	SEA
2025-11-05	SEA 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	SEA
2025-04-05	SJS 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-30	SEA 6 - 2 SJS	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	17	1	1.03
1	SEA	10	1	0.76
2	SJS	11	0	0.22
2	SEA	19	1	1.58
3	SJS	11	0	0.65
3	SEA	13	1	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.8 - 3.5