Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-04-05 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 5 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 55.9%
SEA: 44.1%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.85
SEA: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | SJS | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.934 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SJS at home vs SEA: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | SJS 2 - 4 SEA | SEA | SJS |
| 2025-11-15 | SEA 4 - 1 SJS | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-11-05 | SEA 1 - 6 SJS | SJS | SEA |
| 2025-04-05 | SJS 1 - 5 SEA | SEA | SJS |
| 2025-01-30 | SEA 6 - 2 SJS | SEA | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:46 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 09:26 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 14:18 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:39 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 11:36 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:07 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 5 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0