Washington Capitals at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-04-06 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 1 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NYI: 52.0%

WSH: 48.0%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.20

WSH: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NYI at home vs WSH: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	WSH 4 - 1 NYI	WSH	WSH
2025-11-30	NYI 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-10-31	WSH 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	WSH
2025-10-11	NYI 2 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-04-15	NYI 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	13	0	0.84
1	WSH	8	1	0.58
2	NYI	14	0	1.45
2	WSH	13	0	0.70
3	NYI	15	1	1.28
3	WSH	18	1	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0