Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-04-06 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

MIN: 62.8%

DAL: 37.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.24

DAL: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • MIN at home vs DAL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	17	0	0.71
1	DAL	9	2	0.98
2	MIN	15	1	0.69
2	DAL	17	0	0.99
3	MIN	19	3	2.08
3	DAL	7	0	0.32
4	MIN	1	0	0.11
4	DAL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0