Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-04-06 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 57.6%
FLA: 42.4%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.99
FLA: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | DET | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.913 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • DET at home vs FLA: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-15 | DET 4 - 1 FLA | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-10 | FLA 4 - 1 DET | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-04-06 | DET 2 - 1 FLA | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-16 | FLA 2 - 5 DET | DET | FLA |
| 2024-03-30 | FLA 3 - 2 DET | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 11:23 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 04:37 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:20 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9