Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-04-06 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

CHI: 62.9%

PIT: 37.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.16

PIT: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs PIT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	PIT 6 - 2 CHI	PIT	PIT
2025-12-28	CHI 3 - 7 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-04-08	PIT 5 - 0 CHI	PIT	PIT
2025-04-06	CHI 3 - 1 PIT	CHI	CHI
2024-02-15	CHI 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	12	0	0.76
1	PIT	15	0	1.33
2	CHI	13	0	0.82
2	PIT	18	0	1.01
3	CHI	19	1	2.12
3	PIT	13	1	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0