Montreal Canadiens at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-04-06 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 64.5%

MTL: 35.5%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.18

MTL: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 13-5-3 | 0.889 SV% | 3.01 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	17	15	2	88.2%	1.90	1	-0.10
MTL	Jakub Dobes	37	36	1	97.3%	3.44	4	2.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs MTL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NSH 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH
2025-10-16	MTL 3 - 2 NSH	MTL	MTL
2025-04-06	NSH 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	NSH
2024-12-05	MTL 3 - 0 NSH	MTL	MTL
2024-03-05	NSH 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	16	2	1.21
1	MTL	6	0	0.21
2	NSH	22	2	1.40
2	MTL	13	0	0.88
3	NSH	19	0	0.83
3	MTL	7	1	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1