Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-04-06 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

VAN: 47.7%

VGK: 52.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 1.93

VGK: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • VAN at home vs VGK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	VAN 1 - 2 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-30	VGK 4 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2026-02-04	VGK 5 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2025-04-16	VAN 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VAN
2025-04-06	VAN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	16	1	1.38
1	VGK	13	1	0.95
2	VAN	10	1	1.26
2	VGK	20	1	1.14
3	VAN	8	0	0.26
3	VGK	16	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 4.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 1.9 - 2.9