Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-04-06 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

VAN: 39.9%

VGK: 60.1%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.95

VGK: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	35	32	3	91.4%	3.04	2	0.04
VGK	Adin Hill	21	19	2	90.5%	2.90	2	0.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • VAN at home vs VGK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	VAN 1 - 2 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-30	VGK 4 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2026-02-04	VGK 5 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2025-04-16	VAN 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VAN
2025-04-06	VAN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	16	1	1.38
1	VGK	13	1	0.95
2	VAN	10	1	1.26
2	VGK	20	1	1.14
3	VAN	8	0	0.26
3	VGK	16	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2