St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-04-07 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

WPG: 57.3%

STL: 42.7%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.89

STL: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 40%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	15	14	1	93.3%	1.07	0	0.07
STL	Joel Hofer	26	23	3	88.5%	3.45	2	0.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WPG at home vs STL: 12-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	STL
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	17	0	0.58
1	STL	5	0	0.10
2	WPG	14	0	0.92
2	STL	10	0	0.51
3	WPG	12	2	1.95
3	STL	6	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9