St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-04-07 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

WPG: 52.4%

STL: 47.6%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.88

STL: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs STL: 9-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	STL
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	17	0	0.58
1	STL	5	0	0.10
2	WPG	14	0	0.92
2	STL	10	0	0.51
3	WPG	12	2	1.95
3	STL	6	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0