Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-04-07 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 46.4%

EDM: 53.6%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.29

EDM: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • ANA at home vs EDM: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	10	0	0.55
1	EDM	18	1	1.04
2	ANA	11	1	0.75
2	EDM	13	0	0.52
3	ANA	10	0	0.74
3	EDM	36	1	2.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2