Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-04-07 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 59.7%
EDM: 40.3%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.06
EDM: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | ANA | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.815 | 0.852 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • ANA at home vs EDM: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | ANA 6 - 5 EDM | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-01-26 | EDM 7 - 4 ANA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-07 | ANA 3 - 2 EDM | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-03-04 | EDM 2 - 6 ANA | ANA | EDM |
| 2025-01-03 | EDM 3 - 2 ANA | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:51 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 02:20 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:10 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:33 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:29 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8