Seattle Kraken at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-04-07 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 55.5%
SEA: 44.5%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.09
SEA: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | LAK | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | Darcy Kuemper | 28 | 26 | 2 | 92.9% | 2.36 | 2 | 0.36 |
| SEA | Joey Daccord | 29 | 28 | 1 | 96.6% | 2.23 | 1 | 1.23 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • LAK at home vs SEA: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | SEA 3 - 5 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2026-02-04 | LAK 2 - 4 SEA | SEA | LAK |
| 2025-12-23 | LAK 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | LAK |
| 2025-12-10 | SEA 3 - 2 LAK | SEA | LAK |
| 2025-04-15 | SEA 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 17 | 1 | 1.05 |
| 1 | SEA | 11 | 1 | 0.90 |
| 2 | LAK | 11 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 2 | SEA | 18 | 0 | 0.73 |
| 3 | LAK | 19 | 0 | 0.75 |
| 3 | SEA | 12 | 1 | 0.74 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9
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