Carolina Hurricanes at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-04-08 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 49.5%

CAR: 50.5%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.95

CAR: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • BUF at home vs CAR: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	CAR 2 - 1 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-11-23	BUF 4 - 1 CAR	BUF	BUF
2025-11-08	CAR 6 - 3 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-04-08	BUF 3 - 0 CAR	BUF	CAR
2025-02-27	CAR 5 - 2 BUF	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	10	0	0.71
1	CAR	16	0	0.53
2	BUF	8	0	0.37
2	CAR	13	1	0.72
3	BUF	12	0	0.94
3	CAR	19	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9