Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-04-08 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

PIT: 74.4%

CHI: 25.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 4.27

CHI: 2.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	PIT 6 - 2 CHI	PIT	PIT
2025-12-28	CHI 3 - 7 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-04-08	PIT 5 - 0 CHI	PIT	PIT
2025-04-06	CHI 3 - 1 PIT	CHI	CHI
2024-02-15	CHI 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	19	1	1.54
1	CHI	18	1	1.16
2	PIT	18	0	0.95
2	CHI	11	0	0.46
3	PIT	8	0	0.72
3	CHI	15	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.3 - 2.1