Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-04-09 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 8 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

NYR: 45.1%

PHI: 54.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.19

PHI: 3.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • NYR at home vs PHI: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	PHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2026-02-26	NYR 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	NYR
2026-01-17	PHI 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2025-12-20	NYR 5 - 4 PHI	NYR	NYR
2025-04-09	NYR 5 - 8 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	18	1	1.06
1	PHI	7	0	0.67
2	NYR	12	1	1.01
2	PHI	12	0	0.53
3	NYR	10	1	0.57
3	PHI	21	6	3.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 8 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.6