San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-04-09 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 8 - 7 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

MIN: 57.8%

SJS: 42.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.34

SJS: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 38%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

SJS

Alexandar Georgiev - 15-26-4 | 0.875 SV% | 3.71 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	31	24	7	77.4%	3.15	2	-3.85
SJS	Alexandar Georgiev	44	36	8	81.8%	4.48	2	-3.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs SJS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	SJS 4 - 3 MIN	SJS	MIN
2025-11-11	MIN 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-10-26	MIN 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-04-09	MIN 8 - 7 SJS	MIN	MIN
2025-01-11	SJS 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	25	0	1.22
1	SJS	13	0	0.50
2	MIN	19	2	1.97
2	SJS	19	2	2.06
3	MIN	17	0	1.17
3	SJS	11	0	0.58
4	MIN	1	0	0.11
4	SJS	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 15.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 8 - 7 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3