Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-04-09 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 44.3%

CGY: 55.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.12

CGY: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ANA at home vs CGY: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	ANA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2026-03-26	CGY 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-03-01	ANA 3 - 2 CGY	ANA	ANA
2026-01-25	CGY 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-09	ANA 4 - 3 CGY	ANA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	13	0	0.72
1	CGY	22	0	1.09
2	ANA	9	0	0.45
2	CGY	15	0	1.02
3	ANA	15	0	0.85
3	CGY	17	2	1.28
4	ANA	1	0	0.13
4	CGY	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0