Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-04-10 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 56.9%
CHI: 43.1%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.23
CHI: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | BOS | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BOS at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | CHI 2 - 5 BOS | BOS | CHI |
| 2025-10-09 | BOS 4 - 3 CHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-10 | BOS 2 - 5 CHI | CHI | BOS |
| 2024-12-04 | CHI 2 - 4 BOS | BOS | CHI |
| 2023-10-24 | CHI 0 - 3 BOS | BOS | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:39 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 07:55 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 03:14 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 04:23 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 04:47 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 11:08 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:33 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0