Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-04-10 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 5 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

WSH: 52.3%

CAR: 47.7%

Expected Goals

WSH: 4.41

CAR: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • WSH at home vs CAR: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	6	1	0.40
1	CAR	27	0	1.79
2	WSH	24	3	2.51
2	CAR	15	0	0.88
3	WSH	11	1	0.71
3	CAR	17	0	0.74
4	WSH	2	0	0.23
4	CAR	3	1	0.34
5	WSH	3	1	0.93
5	CAR	3	0	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.6

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 5 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 4.4 - 3.2