New York Rangers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-04-10 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 9 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 64.1%

NYR: 35.9%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.18

NYR: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs NYR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	NYR 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYR
2026-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-12-27	NYI 2 - 0 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-11-08	NYR 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYR
2025-04-10	NYI 2 - 9 NYR	NYR	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	14	0	0.61
1	NYR	18	2	1.25
2	NYI	23	0	1.29
2	NYR	9	0	0.24
3	NYI	25	3	1.60
3	NYR	17	1	1.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 9 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0