Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-04-10 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 65.2%
VAN: 34.8%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.36
VAN: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | COL | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.872 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.882 | 0.849 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • COL at home vs VAN: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | COL 6 - 8 VAN | VAN | COL |
| 2025-12-02 | COL 3 - 1 VAN | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-09 | VAN 4 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-10 | COL 1 - 4 VAN | VAN | COL |
| 2025-02-04 | VAN 3 - 0 COL | VAN | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:50 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 07:51 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 16:36 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 06:14 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:02 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 65.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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