Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-04-10 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 6 - 1 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 72.4%
ANA: 27.6%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.60
ANA: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA
| Stat | LAK | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.27 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | Darcy Kuemper | 25 | 24 | 1 | 96.0% | 1.57 | 0 | 0.57 |
| ANA | Lukas Dostal | 29 | 23 | 6 | 79.3% | 2.79 | 0 | -3.21 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • LAK at home vs ANA: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | ANA 2 - 1 LAK | ANA | LAK |
| 2026-01-16 | LAK 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | LAK |
| 2025-12-27 | LAK 6 - 1 ANA | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-11-28 | ANA 5 - 4 LAK | ANA | LAK |
| 2025-04-10 | LAK 6 - 1 ANA | LAK | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 9 | 0 | 0.81 |
| 1 | ANA | 10 | 0 | 0.55 |
| 2 | LAK | 20 | 0 | 1.15 |
| 2 | ANA | 16 | 0 | 0.90 |
| 3 | LAK | 17 | 0 | 0.83 |
| 3 | ANA | 7 | 0 | 0.12 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 72.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 6 - 1 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8
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