San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-04-11 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 67.2%
SJS: 32.8%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.57
SJS: 2.54
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | EDM | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.857 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • EDM at home vs SJS: 5-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | SJS 2 - 5 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2026-03-17 | EDM 5 - 3 SJS | EDM | EDM |
| 2026-02-28 | SJS 5 - 4 EDM | SJS | EDM |
| 2026-01-29 | EDM 4 - 3 SJS | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-16 | SJS 0 - 3 EDM | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:47 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 15:41 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 17:13 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 05:44 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 07:32 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 19:34 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.6 - 2.5
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