Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-04-11 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 2 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 49.9%

MIN: 50.1%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.15

MIN: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CGY at home vs MIN: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	MIN 4 - 1 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-12-04	CGY 4 - 1 MIN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-09	MIN 2 - 0 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-04-11	CGY 4 - 2 MIN	CGY	MIN
2025-01-25	MIN 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	20	2	1.36
1	MIN	10	0	0.42
2	CGY	17	0	0.78
2	MIN	13	0	0.53
3	CGY	12	3	2.09
3	MIN	13	1	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 4 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2