New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-04-12 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 7 - 3 New York Rangers

Win Probability

CAR: 71.2%

NYR: 28.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.72

NYR: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	31	28	3	90.3%	2.92	1	-0.08
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	28	21	7	75.0%	4.24	4	-2.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • CAR at home vs NYR: 8-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	1	0.99
1	NYR	11	0	0.40
2	CAR	14	0	0.92
2	NYR	12	0	0.77
3	CAR	11	3	2.32
3	NYR	27	1	1.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 7 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 4.7 - 2.8