Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-04-12 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 5 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 40.2%
COL: 59.8%
Expected Goals
LAK: 2.97
COL: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
| Stat | LAK | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.833 | 0.951 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.826 | 0.960 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • LAK at home vs COL: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | LAK 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-12-29 | COL 5 - 2 LAK | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-07 | LAK 1 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-12 | LAK 5 - 4 COL | LAK | COL |
| 2025-03-27 | COL 4 - 0 LAK | COL | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:03 | LAK | Goal |
| 1 | 07:14 | LAK | Goal |
| 1 | 10:39 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 02:13 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 10:57 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 16:02 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 09:18 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 12:11 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:20 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 5 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1
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