Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-04-12 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

FLA: 61.4%

BUF: 38.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.89

BUF: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • FLA at home vs BUF: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	0	0.74
1	BUF	12	1	0.71
2	FLA	20	2	1.37
2	BUF	16	0	0.59
3	FLA	9	0	0.38
3	BUF	11	0	0.59
4	FLA	4	1	0.37
4	BUF	4	0	0.21
5	FLA	3	1	0.90
5	BUF	3	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.9 - 3.1