Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-04-12 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 5 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 54.3%
WPG: 45.7%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.78
WPG: 3.39
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | CHI | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.906 | 0.915 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs WPG: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | CHI 2 - 0 WPG | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-10-30 | WPG 6 - 3 CHI | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-04-12 | CHI 4 - 5 WPG | WPG | CHI |
| 2024-12-07 | CHI 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | CHI |
| 2024-10-11 | WPG 2 - 1 CHI | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:40 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 13:21 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:15 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 16:03 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 02:08 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 10:53 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:05 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 16:13 | CHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 5 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 2.8 - 3.4